An analysis of recent seasons of Survivor and The Amazing Race winners reveals who’s most likely to win the CBS competitions. For example:
- The average winning Amazing Race team is a 34-year-old man and a 28-year-old woman
- TAR teams consisting of two women have only won TAR 18 percent of the time
- Teams with one man and one woman won 55 percent of the time
- The average age of a Survivor winner is 34
- 73 percent of Survivor winners are white
- 55 percent of Survivor winners are men
The research was published by Casino.org and doesn’t, alas, cover all 29 seasons of Amazing Race or 34 seasons of Survivor.
I asked a representative of the team who did the research, and was told they covered Amazing Race seasons 18 to 28 and Survivor seasons 22 to 32. Also notable: returnees were treated as “unique contestants in each season”—i.e. they were counted twice.
Still, the data has some interesting revelations:
- Survivor’s hispanic contestants last in the game for around for 75 percent of the season, compared to 68 percent for whites, and 53 percent for both Asian-American and black contestants. (That is, of course, affected by the number of contestants in each group.)
- The data says “Nearly 80% of contestants over the age of 55 have made it to the final tribal council,” but only one actually won: Bob Crowley.
- White Amazing Race teams race for an average of 66 percent of the season, while Hispanic teams average just 21 percent of the season. Asian-American teams last an average of 52 percent of the race, and black teams average 56 percent of the race.
Browse the full charts for all the data, which includes things such as the most-common eye color and hair color of Survivor winners. (Hint: It’s brown for both.)