Survivor China enters the finale with an alliance of four

Four contestants remain on Survivor China, and all four were members of an alliance that has lasted much of the season. While Todd Herzog, Amanda Kimmel, Denise Martin, and Courtney Yates turned on and blindsided two of their own—poker player Jean-Robert and double-immunity-holding James—they have otherwise stuck together. And really, they formed the core of an alliance that Peih-Gee wasn’t able to break.

Here’s my take on the odds each one of them has to win, including the now-departed Peih-Gee. She did her best to stick around, almost beating Amanda in the immunity challenge and bonding with Amanda when the others jetted off to the Great Wall of China for a reward that left both Todd and Courtney bitching about the food. Although Amanda was appalled at how spoiled they are, she didn’t turn on them, probably recognizing that she might have a better chance against one of them in the final three. The jury, after all, primarily consists of Peih-Gee’s original tribemates.

The show concludes Sunday night with its now-traditional three-hour finale. The final episode starts at 8 p.m. ET, and concludes around 10, when the hour-long live reunion begins.

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